"For these reasons, Mr Macron should have left the role of mediator to Mr Michel and thus preserved the reputation of European diplomacy. This activity undermined the EU's role as an honest broker and created a pretext for worsening relations between Brussels and Baku. While Charles Michel, President of the European Council, adopted a firm stance of neutrality in the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict, France intervened in the negotiation process in favour of Armenia. Maurizio Geri, former analyst for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region at NATO's Allied Command Transformation, notes that "after the outbreak of the Russo-Ukrainian war, the South Caucasus, and in particular Azerbaijan, became crucial for the diversification of energy supplies to Europe". Passionate about his thoughtless foreign policy plans, the President of the Republic has not taken into account that in the context of the energy crisis in Europe it is extremely important to support balanced relations with Azerbaijan, which is one of the main suppliers of energy resources. Maсron's excessive support for Armenia ignores not only the need to eliminate chaos in his own country, but also the regulation of major European problems. The figure is 76% among French people aged 35 to 44, 9 points higher than the previous year.Īzerbaijan assaults Armenia's Nagorno-Karabakh region According to the poverty barometer published by Secours populaire francais (SPF), 58% of people claim to live below the poverty line. French public opinion surveys testify to the consequences of the French authorities' "fiasco" policy. The introduction of the contradictory pension reform, extending the legal retirement age from 62 to 64, has only aggravated these problems and triggered new revolts in France. The migration crisis has reflected the multitude of problems in the economic, social, legal and cultural spheres. At the same time, however, Mr Maсron is dodging France's domestic problems.Īll is not well in the Fifth Republic. Especially in the context of the latest failures of French diplomacy in Niger and Mali, the French president hopes to repair the damage done to his reputation by resolving this ethno-territorial conflict. However, the French leader is closely following the situation in this tormented region and does not lose hope of achieving the glory of the peacemaker. The last major armed conflict took place in autumn 2020, during which Baku took control of most of Nagorno-Karabakh and adjacent territories.Īliyev wins the war against Armenia for Nagorno KarabakhĪt present, Emmanuel Maсron's record does not show any considerable success in mediating a settlement of the Armenia-Azerbaijan conflict. The results of this diplomatic format are highly controversial: despite a series of effective solutions to the ethno-political conflicts in Nagorno-Karabakh, the region has repeatedly become the scene of bitter hostilities between Armenia and Azerbaijan. In 1992, the OSCE Minsk Group on the Nagorno-Karabakh settlement was established, co-chaired by France, the United States and Russia. Although the international community has recognised this region as a territory of Azerbaijan, Nagorno-Karabakh proclaimed its independence in the late 1980s and early 1990s, and since then has been under the de facto control of Armenia and local pro-Armenian forces. Nagorno-Karabakh is the unrecognised republic of Transcaucasia, inhabited mainly by ethnic Armenians. The French president's special interest in this region is evidence of a risky attempt by Paris to get involved in the Nagorno-Karabakh conflict resolution process. The Armenian newspaper Haykakan Jamanak, citing sources in the Armenian Foreign Ministry and the French Embassy in Yerevan, later denied the news of Mr. Maсron would launch an initiative to resolve the Nagorno-Karabakh crisis. It was possible that during this visit Mr. Some Armenian media subsequently announced that the French president would visit Yerevan and Baku on 9 and 10 September. On 28 August, at the Ambassadors' Conference, French President Emmanuel Maсron announced his intention to organise negotiations with the leaders of Armenia and Azerbaijan.
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